Changing of the Smiths: Alex’s farewell

So, yesterday Mike Singletary announced that Alex Smith would be the starting quarterback against the Seattle Seahawks this coming Sunday. My first thought: Freakin’ BS, Are you kidding me? Even now, I don’t understand the logic behind the move. Then again, Singletary is the head coach of the team and he is supposed to do what he thinks is best for the team and that is why he gets paid millions to do this. However, I completely disagree with this decision and firmly believe that Troy gives us as good a shot-if not better-as Alex does to win our games down the stretch.

This is what Singletary about Alex getting the starting nod:

We felt at this time, Alex with his experience and all of the other things, he would give us the best chance to win at this particular time, at this time of the year. Still very confident in what Troy has been able to do and would not rule out at any point in time him playing again. Right now it’s just a matter of looking where we are in the season and the opportunity we have before us.

While Troy Smith has not played lights out in his time as a starter, I don’

t think that Alex is so far ahead of him in his knowledge of the playbook and gives the Niners that much a greater chance of winning games this time of the year. In my eyes, Troy has had greater command of the offense, and the guys have rallied around him and I think that that is something to be valued in the last quarter of the season. Clearly, Singletary doesn’t think so. Anyways, Singletary has left the door open and made it known that he reserves the right to change his mind and possibly go back to Troy at some point.

Alex has played seven games against the Seattle Seahawks, and his numbers in those games have not been spectacular by any means.  He won two of his games against the Seahawks and below are his numbers against the team:

Comp Att Comp % Yards TDs INTs Rating
107 191 56.0 1051 5 3 73.9

*Alex also has 2 rushing TD’s against the Seahawks.

Now, let’s take a look on how Alex has fared in December:

Comp Att Comp% Yards TDs INTs Rating
206 377 54.6 2295 11 17 63.9

*Alex’s record in December is 5-8, and has run for a TD in said month.

Those numbers do not impress me by any means. But, it would not be fair to frown upon Alex’s numbers without looking at Troy’s numbers, both against the Seahawks, and in the month of December. So, here we go:

Against Seahawks

Comp Att Comp% Yards TDs INTs Rating
16 33 48.5 199 1 0 77.7

*Troy won his only game against Seattle.

In December

Comp Att Comp% Yards TDs INTs Rating
55 110 50 691 3 2 71.4

*Troy is 4-4 in December. He also has two rushing TDs in that month.

For you fans who support Singletary’s decision to go with Alex, you will point out that Alex has played in more games, and therefore Troy’s sample size is not large enough to measure his success against Alex’s down the stretch. You guys can also point out that Troy benefited from playing with a superb defense in his time with the Baltimore Ravens. I say, true and true, but when the numbers are adjusted, you will quickly realize that Troy would fit better not only this weekend against the Seahawks, but also in this last month of the season. Again, that is by no means scientific, but you have to give him the benefit of the doubt. And, I will not cease to say that the guys rally around Troy more that they do around Alex. That cannot be ignored in this crucial stretch for Singletary and the Niners.

I hope that Singletary proves me wrong and Alex surprises us all and takes us to the playoffs. I am no prognosticator but I do not see this working out. In my opinion, this stretch, however long it is, will be a farewell to Alex as the starting quarterback of the once-proud San Francisco 49ers.

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